The Seahawks' Dilemma with Geno Smith

The Seattle Seahawks are entering a critical offseason, with quarterback Geno Smith's contract extension taking center stage. As the 2025 NFL Combine unfolds, the team's management, led by General Manager John Schneider, is tasked with making a decision that could shape the franchise's future.

Schneider's Insights at the Combine

At the 2025 NFL Combine, John Schneider addressed the media, shedding light on the team's approach to Smith's contract situation. "We're going to meet with him this week, meet with his agent," Schneider said. "We'll see where it goes." He emphasized that while there's no immediate deadline, the team is keen on doing what's right for both Smith and the organization.

Evaluating Smith's Performance

Geno Smith, who signed a three-year, $25 million deal in 2023, has had a mixed performance over the past two seasons. Despite leading the Seahawks to a 10-7 record in 2024 and orchestrating nine game-winning drives, his QBR ranks 21st among quarterbacks. The Seahawks must weigh these factors against the exploding market for quarterback salaries, which now reaches up to $60 million annually.

Potential Contract Scenarios

Contract analysts speculate that an extension for Smith could mirror Baker Mayfield's recent three-year, $100 million deal with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, given Smith's age (34) and recent performance, any raise might not significantly elevate his average annual salary (APY) ranking.

The Cap Number Challenge

Smith's $44.5 million cap number, increased by $6 million due to escalators, presents a financial hurdle. Extending Smith before free agency would provide the Seahawks with a clearer picture of their available funds. Otherwise, the team might consider a trade, especially if another quarterback-needy team offers an attractive deal.

The Future Without an Extension

If the Seahawks opt not to extend Smith, he could play out the final year of his contract. However, this scenario is fraught with uncertainty, given Smith's unsuccessful push for an extension last offseason. The Seahawks' lack of clear alternatives in a weak quarterback draft further complicates the situation.

Coach Macdonald's Perspective

Head Coach Mike Macdonald expressed his enthusiasm for Smith's fit in new Offensive Coordinator Klint Kubiak's scheme. "He's tough as crap, he's smart, he's accurate as hell, he throws a great ball, sees the field, plays with anticipation, ultimate competitor," Macdonald said. "You line those things up with the things that we're going to be doing, you've got to be excited."

Conclusion

The Seahawks' decision on Geno Smith's contract extension is more than a financial calculation—it's a strategic move that will influence the team's direction in the coming years. As the offseason progresses, all eyes will be on Seattle's management to see how they navigate this pivotal decision.