Liverpool's recent performances have left fans and analysts questioning whether the team can maintain their grip on the Premier League title. With a 12-point lead now seemingly shrinking, the Reds appear tired and far from the dominant force that once seemed unstoppable. Are they running out of steam just as the season’s decisive phase approaches?

The Wear and Tear of a Grueling Season

Liverpool’s physical and mental exhaustion was evident in their recent Carabao Cup final defeat to Newcastle United. Harvey Elliott’s hobbling exit from Wembley Stadium symbolized a week that had initially promised so much but ended in disappointment. After a hard-fought 3-1 victory over Southampton, the team’s spirits were high. However, a narrow penalty shootout loss to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League and a lackluster performance against Newcastle in the Carabao Cup final have raised serious concerns.

Comparing the Numbers

The contrast between Liverpool’s earlier performances and their recent outings is stark. In February, they dominated Newcastle in a 2-0 Premier League victory, winning 55.2% of their duels. Fast forward to the Carabao Cup final, and they managed only 42% of duels, with a particularly poor showing in aerial battles. Newcastle’s 68% success rate in aerial duels compared to Liverpool’s 32% highlights a significant drop in physicality and tenacity.

Midfield Struggles

Liverpool’s midfield, usually a stronghold, was outplayed by Newcastle’s dynamic duo of Joelinton and Bruno Guimarães. Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, and Ryan Gravenberch, who have been instrumental this season, were outperformed, with Mac Allister winning just 16.7% of his duels. The increased workload this season—Gravenberch, for instance, has already doubled his minutes from last term—suggests that fatigue is taking its toll.

Historical Parallels

The current situation draws parallels to the 2023-24 season, where Liverpool’s campaign imploded in the final stages. Injuries and fatigue led to a dramatic drop in form, and the team ultimately finished nine points behind Manchester City. With nine games remaining this season, Liverpool must avoid a repeat of history. Their current average of 2.41 points per game is strong, but a drop-off similar to last season’s 1.8 points per game in the final stretch could prove costly.

The Road Ahead

Liverpool’s schedule has been relentless, and the international break offers a much-needed respite. However, with key players representing their national teams, the physical and mental reset could be crucial. Arsenal’s inconsistent form means Liverpool still holds a significant advantage, but any slip-ups in the coming weeks could turn their title procession into a grueling race to the finish line.

Conclusion

Liverpool’s recent performances have exposed vulnerabilities, but their strong position in the league means they remain favorites for the title. The coming weeks will test their resilience and ability to manage fatigue. With history as both a cautionary tale and a source of motivation, the Reds must rediscover their winning form to secure what would be only their second Premier League title in over three decades.