Why Betting on Aaron Judge for AL MVP Might Not Be the Best Move

Explore why betting on Aaron Judge for AL MVP might not be the smartest choice despite his stellar performance, and discover alternative candidates with better value.

Aaron Judge's Dominance in the AL

As of May 16, 2025, Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees is leading the American League in all three Triple Crown categories with a .412 batting average, 15 home runs, and 41 RBI. He also tops the fantasy baseball charts in total points and ESPN Player Rater. Despite his impressive stats, betting on Judge to win the AL MVP might not be the wisest decision.

The High Cost of Betting on Judge

Judge's MVP odds have reached -1,000 at ESPN BET, making him an overwhelming favorite. However, this has caused many bettors to hesitate due to the high cost of potentially winning minimal returns. For instance, risking $1,000 to win just $100 is a steep price for many.

Alternative MVP Candidates

Alex Bregman

If the Boston Red Sox make a playoff run, Alex Bregman could be a key reason. With 75-1 odds, Bregman’s narrative and potential 30-home run season could sway MVP voters.

Tarik Skubal

The Detroit Tigers' ace, Tarik Skubal, is on pace for a 7.0-WAR season. His performance could make him a dark horse for MVP, especially if the Tigers continue their winning streak.

Jose Ramirez

Jose Ramirez, with 100-1 odds, remains a reliable and durable player. Betting on Ramirez is essentially betting on the Cleveland Guardians to make the playoffs, which could significantly boost his MVP chances.

Conclusion

While Aaron Judge is a phenomenal player, his high betting odds make him a risky MVP bet. Exploring other candidates like Alex Bregman, Tarik Skubal, and Jose Ramirez could offer better value and potential returns.

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