UFC 311: The Fallout

In the wake of UFC 311, Brett Okamoto examines the future matchups for the top fighters, including Islam Makhachev, Merab Dvalishvili, and Jiří Procházka.

UFC 311: The Fallout

In the main event of UFC 311, Islam Makhachev quickly disposed of Renato Moicano to retain the lightweight title. Makhachev beat Moicano by first-round submission, and it was a dominant performance from the UFC's No. 1 pound-for-pound fighter.

In the co-main event, men's bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili beat Umar Nurmagomedov in an instant classic. Dvalishvili picked up a unanimous decision win over Nurmagomedov, and it was a hard-fought battle that went the distance.

Also on the card, Jiří Procházka won a battle of former light heavyweight champions, beating Jamahal Hill by third-round knockout. Procházka is now the No. 1 contender in the light heavyweight division, and he will likely get a title shot in the near future.

Following the first UFC pay-per-view event of the year, how should the future matchmaking play out? Here's what should be next for the top fighters from UFC 311.

Islam Makhachev, Lightweight

Who should be next: Charles Oliveira

One of the most unfortunate parts about Arman Tsarukyan's withdrawal from UFC 311 is that it holds up the division at a time when the division needs to get moving. Oliveira had earned a title opportunity, but lost it because of a cut he suffered in 2023. He deserves to get his shot. Justin Gaethje had a guaranteed title shot last year and risked it to do the company a solid -- defending the BMF belt at UFC 300. If he beats Dan Hooker at UFC 313 in March, he deserves to get his shot as well. And even though Tsarukyan's stock is pretty low after his withdrawal, eventually the sport will give him a much deserved a title shot as well. Makhachev can be only so active. For now, I think Oliveira comes first, and I expect it to happen in June.

Wild card: Arman Tsarukyan

UFC CEO Dana White has already said Tsarukyan will have to earn his way back to a title fight. But if the UFC doesn't go with Oliveira as the next title challenger, it's hard to make a case for anyone but Tsarukyan to get it.

Merab Dvalishvili, Men's Bantamweight

Who should be next: Sean O'Malley

This is more about not wanting to do the rematch against Umar Nurmagomedov right away than it is about rushing O'Malley back into a title shot. I'd be fine seeing O'Malley take another fight; in fact, I'm on record saying the biggest fight for O'Malley would be José Aldo, and I'd love to see that happen. For Dvalishvili though, it's either a rematch with O'Malley or Nurmagomedov, and I don't think the UFC should run Nurmagomedov back right away. Dvalishvili already expressed his opinion that Nurmagomedov wasn't deserving of a title shot. Are they really going to force him to beat him twice in a row? I honestly think those two will eventually fight more than twice, but I vote to do the O'Malley rematch first.

Wildcard: Umar Nurmagomedov

This fight was so close. And although Nurmagomedov breaking his hand in the first round takes nothing away from Dvalishvili, it did happen. If the UFC wanted to run it back, I would certainly watch. There's no chance a rematch between these two doesn't happen at some point, so why rush it immediately?

Jiří Procházka, Light Heavyweight

Who should be next: A front row seat at UFC 313

There's no obvious fight for Procházka, especially considering Alex Pereira defends his championship in less than two months. I don't expect the promotion will book him anything until we see what happens between Pereira and Magomed Ankalaev. If Ankalaev wins, Procházka might get the next title shot, depending on how that fight looks. If Pereira wins, Procházka is likely looking at having to win one more fight. Although if Pereira makes a move up to heavyweight, the UFC might book an interim title fight, which Procházka would certainly be a part of. The bottom line is questions need to be answered before we know Procházka's next move, and some of them will be answered at UFC 313 on March 8.

Wildcard: Winner of Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg (March 22, UFC Fight Night)

This is probably the most likely outcome, once all of the light heavyweight dust settles. It's hard to say for sure, because of all of the potential wild cards at play, but Procházka has not fought Blachowicz or Ulberg.

Jamahal Hill, Light Heavyweight

Who should be next: Khalil Rountree Jr.

This is a pretty obvious one to make here. The only question is timing. Rountree hasn't fought since taking a lot of damage in his title loss to Pereira in October. Hill just took quite a bit of damage Saturday. Stylistically and rankings-wise, this is clearly the matchup to make, but Rountree might be ready to go earlier than Hill is available. The division needs clarity at the top, but the UFC (and the fighters themselves) are under no pressure to book right now. Pereira is so active, no one has to worry about sitting out an extended amount of time for a potential title shot. My guess is that neither Hill nor Rountree will get booked before the UFC gets to see the other light heavyweight matchups in March. And by then, they might be on a perfect time frame to run into each other.

Wildcard: Aleksandar Rakic

Just going right down the rankings here. This is a pretty self-explanatory matchup. These two have never fought, and they're in that top echelon of 205-pound fighters, even if they are each on a bit of a skid. I expect the UFC to explore the Rountree matchup first. That fight was booked in June but fell apart due to injury.

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