Ultimate MLB Fantasy Baseball & Betting Guide: Sunday's Top Picks and Strategies

Get expert advice on setting your MLB fantasy baseball lineups and placing bets for Sunday's games. Discover top pitchers, hitters, and betting strategies.

Starting Pitchers for Sunday

Pitchers are ranked based on their projected fantasy points (FPTS) using ESPN's standard scoring system. Here are the top pitchers for Sunday:

  • Tarik Skubal (L) vs CLE: 15.6 FPTS, 69% Win Probability, 6.2 IP, 1.9 ER, 6.4 K
  • Luis Castillo (R) @ HOU: 13.6 FPTS, 59% Win Probability, 6.1 IP, 2.1 ER, 6.2 K
  • Kodai Senga (R) vs LAD: 13.2 FPTS, 61% Win Probability, 5.8 IP, 1.9 ER, 6.3 K

Pitchers to Stream on Sunday

  • Logan Henderson (R) @ PIT: The rookie has been impressive with 23 strikeouts in 16 innings. Facing the Pirates, who average the second fewest runs per game, Henderson is a strong streaming option.
  • Ryan Pepiot (R) vs TOR: With six quality starts in 10 outings, Pepiot is a reliable choice against the Blue Jays, who have a low wOBA against righties.
  • Ben Brown (R) @ CIN: For those needing strikeouts, Brown’s upside against a swing-and-miss Reds lineup is worth considering.

Pitchers to Avoid on Sunday

  • Nick Lodolo (L) vs CHC: Despite being rostered in over half of ESPN leagues, Lodolo faces a Cubs lineup that strikes out well below league average. The risk outweighs the reward.

Hitters to Stream on Sunday

  • Los Angeles Angels vs Edward Cabrera (R): The Angels are averaging the second-most runs in May. Facing Cabrera and a subpar Marlins bullpen, players like Taylor Ward and Jorge Soler are poised for success.
  • Detroit Tigers vs Logan Allen (L): With Allen’s reverse splits, right-handed batters like Gleyber Torres and Javier Baez are in a good spot to produce.

Today's Best Matchups for Pitchers

  • Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians: The average pitcher would post a 3.63 ERA in this matchup.
  • Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers: The average pitcher would post a 3.90 ERA in this matchup.
  • San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals: The average pitcher would post a 3.91 ERA in this matchup.

Today's Worst Matchups for Pitchers

  • Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees: The average pitcher would post a 5.81 ERA in this matchup.
  • Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs: The average pitcher would post a 5.23 ERA in this matchup.
  • San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves: The average pitcher would post a 5.06 ERA in this matchup.

Today's Best Matchups for Hitters

  • Colorado Rockies LHB vs New York Yankees: The average hitter would post a .360 wOBA in this matchup.
  • New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: The average hitter would post a .358 wOBA in this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay Rays LHB vs Toronto Blue Jays: The average hitter would post a .342 wOBA in this matchup.

Today's Worst Matchups for Hitters

  • Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers: The average hitter would post a .259 wOBA in this matchup.
  • San Francisco Giants RHB vs Washington Nationals: The average hitter would post a .284 wOBA in this matchup.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers RHB vs New York Mets: The average hitter would post a .285 wOBA in this matchup.

Betting Tips

  • Kyle Isbel | OVER 0.5 HR (+1200): 9% chance, $12.97 EV
  • Lars Nootbaar | OVER 0.5 HR (+600): 16% chance, $10.95 EV
  • Shea Langeliers | OVER 0.5 HR (+400): 22% chance, $7.95 EV

Today's Top Pitcher Prop Bets

  • Walker Buehler | UNDER 4.5 K (-105): 67% chance, $31.45 EV
  • Bailey Falter | UNDER 3.5 K (+110): 60% chance, $26.53 EV
  • Will Warren | UNDER 6.5 K (-120): 65% chance, $23.09 EV

Today's Top YRFI/NRFI Bets

  • Rangers @ White Sox | YRFI (-100): 51% chance, $2.06 EV
  • Guardians @ Tigers | NRFI (-135): 58% chance, $0.20 EV

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