Sleepers

Stephon Castle, PG, San Antonio Spurs

Stephon Castle shined in the final 25 games of last season, averaging 19.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 5.6 APG. With De'Aaron Fox out, Castle stepped up and earned Rookie of the Year honors. His versatility makes him a top 50 fantasy prospect.

Alex Sarr, C, Washington Wizards

As the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NBA draft, Alex Sarr has shown significant growth. He projects as a nightly double-double threat with strong shot-blocking and outside shooting, reminiscent of a young Jaren Jackson Jr.

Kevin Porter Jr., SG, Milwaukee Bucks

With limited guard depth, Kevin Porter Jr. is poised for a significant role. He thrived in a playmaking capacity last season, averaging 19.3 points in his starts. Expect big minutes and production from him this season.

Trey Murphy III, SF, New Orleans Pelicans

Healthy and ready to roll, Trey Murphy III is set for a breakout season. His per 36 stats last season were impressive: 21.8 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 3.1 3-pointers per game. With Zion Williamson's injury history, Murphy could shine.

Matas Buzelis, SF, Chicago Bulls

Matas Buzelis, entering his second season, is the frontrunner to start at power forward for the Bulls. His 6-foot-10 frame, combined with scoring, playmaking, and shot-blocking ability, makes him a favorite fantasy sleeper.

Breakouts

Brandon Miller, SF, Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller is poised for a breakout sophomore season. With growth across key categories, including 11.4 3-pointers per 36 minutes, Miller has league-winning upside.

Cooper Flagg, SF, Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg is expected to make a significant impact in his rookie season. With averages of 20 points, 8.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists, and 1.5 3-pointers, Flagg is a top draft pick.

Josh Giddey, SG, Chicago Bulls

Josh Giddey averaged 20.2 PPG, 9.5 RPG, and 8.1 APG in his last 25 games last season. As the Bulls' go-to player, Giddey has top-20 fantasy upside.

Jaylen Wells, SG, Memphis Grizzlies

Jaylen Wells earned a starting spot quickly last season. With Desmond Bane's departure, Wells is set to take on a larger role and could see a major leap in production.

Kel'el Ware, C, Miami Heat

Kel'el Ware averaged 11 PPG, 8.9 RPG, and 1.3 BPG over his final 49 games last season. As a starting center with double-double capability, Ware is a forgotten gem in early ADP.

Busts

Paul George, SF, Philadelphia 76ers

Paul George's durability is a major concern. With a history of injuries and declining production, George carries significant bust potential.

Ja Morant, PG, Memphis Grizzlies

Ja Morant's inability to stay on the court has hindered his fantasy value. Despite his talent, Morant's inconsistent availability makes him a risky pick.

Ivica Zubac, C, Los Angeles Clippers

Ivica Zubac's minutes and production are expected to decline with the addition of John Collins and Brook Lopez. Don't overvalue him based on last season's performance.

Nic Claxton, C, Brooklyn Nets

Nic Claxton's limited offensive game and the Nets' experimentation with different lineups make him a less appealing fantasy option.

Fred VanVleet, PG, Houston Rockets

With Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun taking on larger roles, Fred VanVleet's usage is likely to decrease. Draft him cautiously.